Cost of Credit Crunch could Exceed £472bn
Tuesday, April 29th, 2008The credit crunch could result in losses of £472bn or even higher, according to a report from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), recently released to the BBC.
The IMF’s Global Stability Report points to a “collective failure” of financial institutions in appreciating the risks of borrowing, warning that it may be necessary for the government to intervene by imposing even tougher financial measures.
Indicating that losses are spreading out from the sub-prime mortgage assets to the commercial property sector, consumer credit and company debt, the Report also states that “despite unprecedented intervention by major central banks, financial markets still remain under considerable strain”.
Even so, despite its call for tougher measures, the Report also warns against “a rush to regulate”, which could suppress innovation and worsen the effects of the credit crunch.
Although the Bank of England has now maintained its nominal bank rate at 5.75% for the second consecutive month, it has also, for the first time in over eight years, issued a statement alongside the decision, almost certainly as a means of attempting to quell further market turbulence.
A further report from the BBC in the last week highlights the scale of the current debt concern, with figures suggesting that the country as a whole now owes £140bn in credit cards and personal loans – equating to around £2,000 owed by every adult and child in the country.
Clearly, with interest rates at an eight-year high, and the overall UK debt burden at a record 10-year high, the effects of the credit crunch are already trickling down to ordinary members of the public.
An illustration of this is that recorded debt enquiries to Citizens Advice Bureaux in both England and Wales have reached a record high, with an increase of 20% on the previous year and hoisting the total in 2006/7 to 1.7 million, a doubling of the number of debt problems brought to the Bureaux over the last 10 years.
In a frightening indictment of the present financial climate, Moneyweek’s recently published special report declares: “In short, things are going to get nasty. Your job, your house, your savings, your comfortable life style, as well as your family’s future, and your retirement plans are all seriously under threat.”
Registering a sharp rise in calls from those hoping to establish Individual Voluntary Arrangements (IVAs), or seeking assistance in devising debt management plans or simply from those desperate for financial advice, as part of their portfolio of free services, Debt Counsellors are urging categorically that those experiencing financial worries should seek professional advice as early as possible, as unsecured and secured loans, mortgages and other forms of refinancing are becoming increasingly difficult to find.
This has apparently been borne out by figures suggesting that the number of applications being turned down for credit cards has risen sharply, whilst at the same time many companies are increasing both the fees and the rates they are charging.
The financial website MoneyExpert.com put the number of rejected credit card applications in the six months to the end of last September at 3.27 million, 17% higher than throughout the previous six months.
Other facts and figures also emerging from the torrent of information seemingly unleashed by the arrival of the credit crunch is the finding by the financial comparison website Uswitch that over five million people, or one in 10 adults, spend more money than they actually earn on a monthly basis, and that a further one-fifth of all adults have no money at all to spare at the end of each month. The website also added that half of those who live beyond their means rely entirely on overdrafts and credit cards, concluding that the UK is in the grip of a “spendemic” which is at risk of spiralling out of control.